Inflation India
1. What is Inflation?
- Definition: Sustained rise in the general price level of goods & services, eroding purchasing power.
- Measured by: CPI (Consumer Price Index), WPI (Wholesale Price Index), GDP-Deflator.
- Inflation Rate Formula:
(Current Index – Previous Index) ÷ Previous Index × 100
2. Types of Inflation
| Type | Trigger |
|---|---|
| Demand-Pull | Aggregate demand > aggregate supply |
| Cost-Push | Rise in input costs (oil, wages, taxes) |
| Built-in | Wage-price spiral |
| Creeping | 1–3 % annually (healthy) |
| Walking | 3–10 % |
| Galloping | > 10 % |
| Hyper | > 50 % per month |
3. Key Price Indices in India
| Index | Agency | Base Year | Items | Weight (Food) | Use |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI-Combined (Rural+Urban) | NSO (MoSPI) | 2012 | 448 | 45.86 % | RBI’s inflation target |
| WPI | Office of Economic Adviser (DPIIT) | 2011-12 | 697 | 24.4 % | Tracks wholesale prices |
| GDP Deflator | MoSPI | 2011-12 | All economy | — | Broadest measure |
4. Inflation Targeting Framework
- Flexible Inflation Targeting (FIT) adopted 20 Feb 2015 (RBI-GoI Agreement).
- Effective: 5 Aug 2016 (Amended RBI Act, Section 45ZB).
- Target: 4 % CPI-Combined ± 2 % band (2–6 %).
- Reviewed every 5 years; current period 2021-26.
- Monetary Policy Committee (MPC): 6 members; 3 from RBI, 3 GoI nominees; meet at least 4 times a year.
5. Historic Inflation Milestones
| Year | Event | Peak Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1965-67 | Drought & war | 13.9 % |
| 1973-74 | Oil shock | 25.2 % |
| 1979-80 | 2nd oil shock | 18.2 % |
| 1990-91 | Gulf war | 13.6 % |
| 2008 | Global commodity spike | 12.9 % WPI |
| 2010 | Food crisis | 10.9 % CPI-IW |
| 2022 | Russia-Ukraine war | 7.8 % CPI (Apr) |
| 2023 | Post-cool-off | 4.25 % CPI (Dec) |
6. Measurement Agencies & Frequency
| Agency | Index | Release Day |
|---|---|---|
| NSO (CSO) | CPI | 12th of month |
| DPIIT (OEA) | WPI | 14th of month |
| RBI | CPI, WPI, GDP-Deflator | Monthly Bulletin |
7. Inflation Control Tools
| Monetary (RBI) | Fiscal (GoI) | Supply-side |
|---|---|---|
| Repo rate, CRR, SLR | Cut excise/customs duty | Buffer stock release |
| Open-Market Operations | Rationalise subsidies | Import liberalisation |
| Cash Management Bill | Higher MSP cap | Cold-chain infra |
8. Important Committees
| Committee | Chairman | Year | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chakravarty | Prof Sukhamoy | 1985 | First to suggest 4 % target |
| Rangarajan | C Rangarajan | 2008 | FIT road-map |
| Urjit Patel | Deputy Governor RBI | 2014 | CPI-based target formalised |
| Shaktikanta Das | RBI Governor | 2021 | 5-year FIT extension |
9. One-Liner Revision Facts
- India abandoned WPI-targeting in 2014.
- CPI base year 2012 replaced 2010; WPI base 2011-12 replaced 2004-05.
- Highest weight in CPI: Food & Beverages (45.86 %).
- Highest weight in WPI: Manufactured products (64.23 %).
- RBI prints “Inflation Expectations Survey” quarterly.
- Core inflation = CPI minus food & fuel.
- Deflation is negative inflation; disinflation is falling inflation.
- Stagflation = high inflation + high unemployment + low growth.
- Phillips Curve shows inverse relation between inflation & unemployment.
- Monetary Policy Framework Agreement is reviewed every 5 years.
10. Quick-Reference Table: CPI vs WPI
| Feature | CPI | WPI |
|---|---|---|
| Level | Retail | Wholesale |
| Base | 2012 | 2011-12 |
| Items | 448 | 697 |
| Fuel weight | 6.84 % | 15.96 % |
| Services | Included | Excluded |
| Target variable | YES (RBI) | No |
Practice MCQs (Railway Exam Level)
-
Which index is used by RBI for inflation targeting in India?
A. WPI B. CPI-Combined C. GDP deflator D. CPI-IWAnswer
B -
The current inflation target band in India is:
A. 2–4 % B. 2–6 % C. 4–6 % D. 3–5 %Answer
B -
The base year of CPI-Combined is:
A. 2004-05 B. 2010 C. 2012 D. 2011-12Answer
C -
Who heads the Monetary Policy Committee?
A. FM B. RBI Governor C. CEA D. PMAnswer
B -
Inflation targeting became legally binding for RBI in:
A. 2014 B. 2015 C. 2016 D. 2018Answer
C -
Highest weight in WPI belongs to:
A. Primary articles B. Fuel C. Manufactured products D. ServicesAnswer
C -
The agency that releases WPI is:
A. CSO B. NSSO C. OEA (DPIIT) D. NITI AayogAnswer
C -
Which of the following is NOT a monetary tool to curb inflation?
A. Repo hike B. CRR hike C. OMO sale D. Raising MSPAnswer
D -
The Urjit Patel Committee recommended targeting:
A. WPI B. GDP deflator C. CPI D. Core WPIAnswer
C -
India faced hyper-inflation (>20 %) in which year?
A. 1967 B. 1974-75 C. 1991 D. 2008Answer
B -
Core inflation excludes:
A. Food & fuel B. Clothing C. Housing D. ServicesAnswer
A -
The current five-year FIT period ends in:
A. 2025 B. 2026 C. 2027 D. 2030Answer
B -
Which statement is correct?
A. WPI includes services B. CPI is released monthly by DPIIT
C. RBI uses CPI for target D. Base year of WPI is 2012Answer
C -
Stagflation is characterised by:
A. High growth, low inflation B. High inflation, high unemployment
C. Low inflation, low growth D. Negative inflationAnswer
B -
The weight of food in CPI-Combined is approximately:
A. 35 % B. 40 % C. 46 % D. 55 %Answer
C -
The first official committee to suggest 4 % inflation target was:
A. Rangarajan B. Chakravarty C. Narasimham D. PatelAnswer
B -
When inflation is negative it is called:
A. Disinflation B. Deflation C. Stagflation D. HyperinflationAnswer
B -
Which of the following is a fiscal measure to reduce inflation?
A. Cut in excise duty B. Repo rate cut C. OMO purchase D. SLR cutAnswer
A -
The Monetary Policy Committee meets at least:
A. 2 times B. 4 times C. 6 times D. 12 timesAnswer
B -
The latest released CPI (Dec 2023) was approximately:
A. 3.2 % B. 4.25 % C. 5.5 % D. 7.1 %Answer
B
Revise → Recall → Reattempt. All the best for your Railway Exam!